Zur Startseite gehen
0,00 €*
Cover: 9781399604048 | Everything Is Predictable | Tom Chivers | Taschenbuch | XXVIII | 2024
Dekorationsartikel gehören nicht zum Leistungsumfang.
Everything Is Predictable
How Bayes' Remarkable Theorem Explains the World
Taschenbuch von Tom Chivers
Sprache: Englisch

16,95 €*

inkl. MwSt.

Versandkostenfrei per Post / DHL

auf Lager, Lieferzeit 1-2 Werktage

Kategorien:
Beschreibung
Thomas Bayes was an eighteenth-century Presbyterian minister and amateur mathematician whose obscure life belied the profound impact of his work. Like most research into probability at the time, his theorem - independently discovered a few years later by Pierre-Simon Laplace, the great French mathematician - was mainly seen as relevant to games of chance, like dice and cards. But its implications soon became clear, affecting fields as diverse as medicine, law and artificial intelligence.

Bayes' theorem helps explain why highly accurate screening tests can lead to false positives, causing unnecessary anxiety for patients. A failure to account for it in court it has put innocent people in jail. But its influence goes far beyond practical applications. A cornerstone of rational thought, Bayesian principles are used in modelling and forecasting. 'Superforecasters', a group of expert predictors who outperform CIA analysts, use a Bayesian approach. And many argue that Bayes' theorem is not just a useful tool, but a description of almost everything - that it is the underlying architecture of rationality.

Fusing biography, razor-sharp science communication and intellectual history, EVERYTHING IS PREDICTABLE is a captivating tour of Bayes' theorem and its impact on modern life. From medical testing to artificial intelligence, Tom Chivers shows how a single compelling idea can have far-reaching consequences.
Thomas Bayes was an eighteenth-century Presbyterian minister and amateur mathematician whose obscure life belied the profound impact of his work. Like most research into probability at the time, his theorem - independently discovered a few years later by Pierre-Simon Laplace, the great French mathematician - was mainly seen as relevant to games of chance, like dice and cards. But its implications soon became clear, affecting fields as diverse as medicine, law and artificial intelligence.

Bayes' theorem helps explain why highly accurate screening tests can lead to false positives, causing unnecessary anxiety for patients. A failure to account for it in court it has put innocent people in jail. But its influence goes far beyond practical applications. A cornerstone of rational thought, Bayesian principles are used in modelling and forecasting. 'Superforecasters', a group of expert predictors who outperform CIA analysts, use a Bayesian approach. And many argue that Bayes' theorem is not just a useful tool, but a description of almost everything - that it is the underlying architecture of rationality.

Fusing biography, razor-sharp science communication and intellectual history, EVERYTHING IS PREDICTABLE is a captivating tour of Bayes' theorem and its impact on modern life. From medical testing to artificial intelligence, Tom Chivers shows how a single compelling idea can have far-reaching consequences.
Über den Autor
Tom Chivers is a science writer and author. He was given Royal Statistical Society 'Statistical Excellence in Journalism' awards in 2018 and 2020, and was declared the Science Writer of the Year by the Association of British Science Writers in 2021. His two previous books are The Rationalist's Guide to the Galaxy and How to Read Numbers (with David Chivers).
Details
Erscheinungsjahr: 2024
Fachbereich: Populäre Darstellungen
Genre: Mathematik
Rubrik: Naturwissenschaften & Technik
Medium: Taschenbuch
Inhalt: XXVIII
308 S.
ISBN-13: 9781399604048
ISBN-10: 139960404X
Sprache: Englisch
Einband: Kartoniert / Broschiert
Autor: Chivers, Tom
Hersteller: Orion Publishing Group
Weidenfeld and Nicholson
Maße: 232 x 153 x 26 mm
Von/Mit: Tom Chivers
Erscheinungsdatum: 25.04.2024
Gewicht: 0,417 kg
Artikel-ID: 120952318
Über den Autor
Tom Chivers is a science writer and author. He was given Royal Statistical Society 'Statistical Excellence in Journalism' awards in 2018 and 2020, and was declared the Science Writer of the Year by the Association of British Science Writers in 2021. His two previous books are The Rationalist's Guide to the Galaxy and How to Read Numbers (with David Chivers).
Details
Erscheinungsjahr: 2024
Fachbereich: Populäre Darstellungen
Genre: Mathematik
Rubrik: Naturwissenschaften & Technik
Medium: Taschenbuch
Inhalt: XXVIII
308 S.
ISBN-13: 9781399604048
ISBN-10: 139960404X
Sprache: Englisch
Einband: Kartoniert / Broschiert
Autor: Chivers, Tom
Hersteller: Orion Publishing Group
Weidenfeld and Nicholson
Maße: 232 x 153 x 26 mm
Von/Mit: Tom Chivers
Erscheinungsdatum: 25.04.2024
Gewicht: 0,417 kg
Artikel-ID: 120952318
Warnhinweis

Ähnliche Produkte

Ähnliche Produkte

Buch
Cover: 9781782051855 | Booles and the Hintons | Gerry Kennedy | Buch | Gebunden | Englisch
Booles and the Hintons
EAN: 9781782051855
Sprache: Englisch
Von/Mit: Gerry Kennedy

41,45 €*

Lieferzeit 1-2 Wochen

Taschenbuch
Cover: 9783658090739 | Übungsbuch zur Finanzmathematik | Jürgen Tietze | Taschenbuch
Übungsbuch zur Finanzmathematik
Aufgaben, Testklausuren und ausführliche Lösungen
EAN: 9783658090739
Sprache: Deutsch
Von/Mit: Jürgen Tietze

39,99 €*

Lieferzeit 4-7 Werktage

Taschenbuch
Cover: 9780571212927 | A Beautiful Mind | Sylvia Nasar | Taschenbuch | Englisch | 2002
A Beautiful Mind
EAN: 9780571212927
Sprache: Englisch
Von/Mit: Sylvia Nasar

22,40 €*

Lieferzeit 1-2 Wochen

Taschenbuch
Cover: 9780226667904 | The Cybernetic Brain | Sketches of Another Future | Andrew Pickering
The Cybernetic Brain
Sketches of Another Future
EAN: 9780226667904
Sprache: Englisch
Von/Mit: Andrew Pickering

50,75 €*

Lieferzeit 1-2 Wochen

Taschenbuch
Cover: 9781441923226 | All of Statistics | A Concise Course in Statistical Inference | Buch
All of Statistics
A Concise Course in Statistical Inference
EAN: 9781441923226
Sprache: Englisch
Von/Mit: Larry Wasserman

53,85 €*

Lieferzeit 1-2 Werktage

Taschenbuch
Cover: 9781472924148 | Soccermatics | Mathematical Adventures in the Beautiful Game | Sumpter
Soccermatics
Mathematical Adventures in the Beautiful Game
EAN: 9781472924148
Sprache: Englisch
Von/Mit: David Sumpter

13,70 €*

Lieferzeit 1-2 Werktage

Taschenbuch
Cover: 9781529176605 | Written In Bone | hidden stories in what we leave behind | Sue Black
Written In Bone
hidden stories in what we leave behind
EAN: 9781529176605
Sprache: Englisch
Von/Mit: Sue Black

12,95 €*

Lieferzeit 1-2 Werktage

Taschenbuch
Cover: 9781492097402 | R for Data Science | Hadley Wickham (u. a.) | Taschenbuch | Englisch
R for Data Science
Import, Tidy, Transform, Visualize, and Model Data
EAN: 9781492097402
Sprache: Englisch
Von/Mit: Hadley Wickham (u. a.)

62,55 €*

Lieferzeit 1-2 Werktage

Taschenbuch
Neu
Cover: 9781835883181 | Modern Time Series Forecasting with Python - Second Edition | Tackes
Modern Time Series Forecasting with Python - Second Edition
Industry-ready machine learning and deep learning time series analysis with PyTorch and pandas
EAN: 9781835883181
Sprache: Englisch
Von/Mit: Jeffrey Tackes

74,75 €*

Lieferzeit 1-2 Wochen

Diese Website verwendet Cookies, um eine bestmögliche Erfahrung bieten zu können. Mehr Informationen ...