Professor Armstrong is the author of Long-Range Forecasting and he is a founder of the Journal of Forecasting, the International Journal of Forecasting, the International Institute of Forecasting and the International Symposium on Forecasting. For additional information on the book and on the Forecasting Principles Project, see [...].

1. Introduction.- 2. Role Playing.- Role Playing: A Method to Forecast Decisions.- 3. Intentions.- Methods for Forecasting from Intentions Data.- 4. Expert Opinions.- Improving Judgment in Forecasting.- Improving Reliability of Judgmental Forecasts.- Decomposition for Judgmental Forecasting and Estimation.- Expert Opinions in Forecasting: The Role of the Delphi Technique.- 5. Conjoint Analysis.- Forecasting with Conjoint Analysis.- 6. Judgmental Bootstrapping.- Judgmental Bootstrapping: Inferring Experts' Rules for Forecasting.- 7. Analogies.- Forecasting Analogous Time Series.- 8. Extrapolation.- Extrapolation of Time-Series and Cross-Sectional Data.- Neural Networks For Time-Series Forecasting.- 9. Rule-Based Forecasting.- Rule-Based Forecasting: Using Judgment in Time-Series Extrapolation.- 10. Expert Systems.- Expert Systems for Forecasting.- 11. Econometric Methods.- Econometric Forecasting.- 12. Selecting Methods.- Selecting Forecasting Methods.- 13. Integrating, Adjusting, and Combining.- Judgmental Time-Series Forecasting Using Domain Knowledge.- Judgmental Adjustment of Statistical Forecasts.- Combining Forecasts.- 14. Evaluating Methods.- Evaluating Forecasting Methods.- 15. Assessing Uncertainly.- Prediction Intervals for Time-Series Forecasting.- Overconfidence in Judgmental Forecasting.- 16. Gaining Acceptance.- Scenarios and Acceptance of Forecasts.- 17. Monitoring Forecasts.- Learning from Experience: Coping with Hindsight Bias and Ambiguity.- 18. Applications of Principles.- Population Forecasting.- Forecasting the Diffusion of Innovations: Implications for Time-Series Extrapolation.- Econometric Models for Forecasting Market Share.- Forecasting Trial Sales of New Consumer Packaged Goods.- 19. Diffusion of Principles.- Diffusion of Forecasting Principles through Books.- Diffusion of Forecasting Principles through Software.- 20. Summary.- Standards and Practices for Forecasting.- Forecasting Standards Checklist.- External Reviewers.- About the Authors.- The Forecasting Dictionary.- Author Index.