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Cover: 9780241658628 | The Art of Uncertainty | David Spiegelhalter | Buch | Englisch | 2024
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The Art of Uncertainty
How to Navigate Chance, Ignorance, Risk and Luck
Buch von David Spiegelhalter
Sprache: Englisch

23,35 €*

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Beschreibung
From the UK's 'statistical national treasure', a clever and data-driven guide to how we can live with risk and uncertaintyLife is uncertain. We are all the result of an unforeseen and unforeseeable sequence of small occurrences. But what underlies this fragile chain of events? Is it random or just complex? And what role does luck play in our lives?David Spiegelhalter has spent his career crunching data in order to help understand uncertainty and assess the chances of what might happen. In The Art of Uncertainty, he gives readers a window onto how we can all do this better. Uncertainty, he argues, is a relationship between the observer and an object in the outside world. He shows us how we can express it numerically, and then update our beliefs about the future in the face of constantly changing experience. In crystal-clear prose, he takes us through the principles of probability, a field that informs everything from annuities to pandemics and climate change, while also examining the limitations of statistical modelling and arguing we need to have the humility to admit our ignorance. Drawing on a wide range of real-world examples, this is an essential guide to navigating uncertainty in a world that makes it inevitable.
From the UK's 'statistical national treasure', a clever and data-driven guide to how we can live with risk and uncertaintyLife is uncertain. We are all the result of an unforeseen and unforeseeable sequence of small occurrences. But what underlies this fragile chain of events? Is it random or just complex? And what role does luck play in our lives?David Spiegelhalter has spent his career crunching data in order to help understand uncertainty and assess the chances of what might happen. In The Art of Uncertainty, he gives readers a window onto how we can all do this better. Uncertainty, he argues, is a relationship between the observer and an object in the outside world. He shows us how we can express it numerically, and then update our beliefs about the future in the face of constantly changing experience. In crystal-clear prose, he takes us through the principles of probability, a field that informs everything from annuities to pandemics and climate change, while also examining the limitations of statistical modelling and arguing we need to have the humility to admit our ignorance. Drawing on a wide range of real-world examples, this is an essential guide to navigating uncertainty in a world that makes it inevitable.
Über den Autor
Professor Sir David Spiegelhalter FRS OBE is Emeritus Professor of Statistics at the University of Cambridge. His bestselling book The Art of Statistics has been published in eleven languages. He was knighted in 2014 for services to medical statistics, was President of the Royal Statistical Society (2017 - 2018) and became a Non-Executive Director of the UK Statistics Authority in 2020.
Details
Erscheinungsjahr: 2024
Fachbereich: Populäre Darstellungen
Genre: Mathematik
Rubrik: Naturwissenschaften & Technik
Medium: Buch
ISBN-13: 9780241658628
ISBN-10: 0241658624
Sprache: Englisch
Einband: Gebunden
Autor: Spiegelhalter, David
Hersteller: Penguin Books Ltd (UK)
Pelican
Maße: 220 x 142 x 45 mm
Von/Mit: David Spiegelhalter
Erscheinungsdatum: 19.09.2024
Gewicht: 0,612 kg
Artikel-ID: 129075677
Über den Autor
Professor Sir David Spiegelhalter FRS OBE is Emeritus Professor of Statistics at the University of Cambridge. His bestselling book The Art of Statistics has been published in eleven languages. He was knighted in 2014 for services to medical statistics, was President of the Royal Statistical Society (2017 - 2018) and became a Non-Executive Director of the UK Statistics Authority in 2020.
Details
Erscheinungsjahr: 2024
Fachbereich: Populäre Darstellungen
Genre: Mathematik
Rubrik: Naturwissenschaften & Technik
Medium: Buch
ISBN-13: 9780241658628
ISBN-10: 0241658624
Sprache: Englisch
Einband: Gebunden
Autor: Spiegelhalter, David
Hersteller: Penguin Books Ltd (UK)
Pelican
Maße: 220 x 142 x 45 mm
Von/Mit: David Spiegelhalter
Erscheinungsdatum: 19.09.2024
Gewicht: 0,612 kg
Artikel-ID: 129075677
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